Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 7.231089 8.024886 8.911955 9.985274 11.260446 12.742051 14.616296
2024-10-06 6.192665 7.285729 8.622111 10.413158 12.811322 16.007938 20.774170
2024-10-13 5.287212 6.428567 7.898363 9.994528 13.026072 17.469001 24.967482
2024-10-20 4.654947 5.792303 7.312299 9.581860 13.064410 18.574901 28.928444
2024-10-27 4.225038 5.358065 6.919637 9.344238 13.263685 19.917720 33.802315
2024-11-03 3.920498 5.055939 6.664492 9.252867 13.647285 21.640064 40.245568
2024-11-10 3.837159 5.051192 6.830743 9.827159 15.252232 26.100469 55.814852
2024-11-17 3.678047 4.917262 6.781534 10.033720 16.235484 29.674948 72.494783
2024-11-24 3.451387 4.661662 6.514182 9.824375 16.368664 31.399437 85.298833
2024-12-01 3.280643 4.477076 6.340944 9.754966 16.766233 33.924570 104.625023
2024-12-08 3.096522 4.258289 6.092061 9.514378 16.751475 35.378742 121.829438
2024-12-15 2.964320 4.111788 5.950101 9.455212 17.124886 38.101402 151.774706
2024-12-22 2.863153 4.018621 5.908063 9.620360 18.150825 43.700097 223.471823
2024-12-29 2.798174 3.981211 5.962353 9.995670 19.835088 52.987963 404.420817
2025-01-05 2.625892 3.755039 5.662864 9.599698 19.429713 54.179396 503.642488
2025-01-12 2.470536 3.547938 5.382072 9.210506 18.963022 54.930551 621.104706
2025-01-19 2.351673 3.395212 5.188503 8.986243 18.911116 57.609536 876.710387
2025-01-26 2.261139 3.285169 5.064821 8.899970 19.241370 62.515501 1517.958871
2025-02-02 2.255995 3.320119 5.212595 9.441844 21.637520 81.627511 14008.714116
2025-02-09 2.208449 3.278125 5.210174 9.636530 23.020301 97.537474 NaN
2025-02-16 2.120855 3.160781 5.052853 9.439220 23.011017 103.526523 NaN
2025-02-23 2.053438 3.075970 4.953780 9.373775 23.466551 114.614739 NaN
2025-03-02 1.973753 2.965525 4.796898 9.146830 23.270177 119.714669 NaN